We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...

Mean-Variance portfolios are optimal in-sample, however they tend to perform poorly out-of-sample (even worse than the 1/N naïve portfolio!) We introduce a new portfolio construction method that substantially improves the Out-Of-Sample performance of diversified portfolios.The full paper is...

Successful investment strategies are specific implementations of general theories. An investment strategy that lacks a theoretical justification is likely to be false. Hence, an asset manager should concentrate her efforts on developing a theory, rather than on back-testing potential trading...

When prices reflect all available information, they oscillate around an equilibrium level. This oscillation is the result of the temporary market impact caused by waves of buyers and sellers. This price behavior can be approximated through an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process.Market makers provide...

This paper presents the performance of seven portfolios created using clustering analysis techniques to sort out assets into categories and then applying classical optimization inside every cluster to select best assets inside each asset category.The proposed clustering algorithms are tested...

This paper introduces the Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) approach. HRP portfolios address three major concerns of quadratic optimizers in general and Markowitz's CLA in particular: Instability, concentration and underperformance.HRP applies modern mathematics (graph theory and machine learning...

In this paper we present a novel and highly flexible method to simulate correlation matrices of financial markets. It produces realistic outcomes regarding stylized facts of empirical correlation matrices and requires no asset return input data. The matrix generation is based on a...

For large portfolio managers, a sequence of single-period optimal positions is rarely multi-period optimal. In particular, transaction costs can prevent large portfolio managers from monetizing most of their forecasting power. The solution is to compute the trading trajectory that comes...

There are three fundamental ways of testing the validity of an investment algorithm against historical evidence: a) the walk-forward method; b) the resampling method; and c) the Monte Carlo method. By far the most common approach followed among academics and practitioners is the walk-forward...

In this article, the authors present a conceptual framework named 'Adaptive Seriational Risk Parity' (ASRP) to extend Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP) as an asset allocation heuristic. The first step of HRP (quasi-diagonalization) determining the hierarchy of assets is required for the actual...