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This paper examines the macro-spanning hypothesis for bond returns in international markets. Based on a large panel of real-time macro variables that are not subject to revisions, wefind that global macro factors have predictive power for bond returns unspanned by yield factors.Furthermore, we...
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Can the art and science of investment management be reduced to a set of patterns that markets generally follow, in apparent violation of the efficient market hypothesis? Can investors reasonably expect to make money from the knowledge of these patterns, even after they have not only been...
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This paper analyzes the influence of downside risk on defaultable bond returns. By introducing a defaultable bond …-trading model, we show that the decline in market risk tolerance and information accuracy leads to trading loss under downside … conditions. Our empirical analysis indicates that downside risk can explain a large proportion of the variation in yield spreads …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206142
We combine self-collected historical data from 1867 to 1907 with CRSP data from 1926 to 2012, to examine the risk and … earned abnormally high risk-adjusted returns — a three factor alpha of 1 percent per month between 1927 and 2012 and 0 … remain invested in momentum even when the crash risk is known to be high when (1) he competes for funds from return and (2 …
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risk premium is low. We use a theoretical model and historical data and find that this is the case. This low-risk premium …
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equity premium to invest in risky assets. However, once she does invest because of a large risk premium, she becomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009683962