BAH, Adama - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement … - 2013
propose a method to estimate an index of ex ante vulnerability to poverty, defined as the probability of being poor in the … generates a vulnerability index, or predicted probability of future poverty, which performs well in predicting future poverty …, including out of sample. About 80% of households with a 2000 vulnerability index of 100% are actually poor in 2007. This …