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An exogenous oil price shock raises inflation and contracts output, similar to a negative productivity shock. In the standard New Keynesian model, however, this does not generate a tradeoff between inflation and output gap volatility: under a strict inflation targeting policy, the output decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530181
Incluye bibliografía ; We assess the extent to which the great US macroeconomic stability since the mid-1980s can be accounted for by changes in oil shocks and the oil share in GDP. To do this we estimate a DSGE model with an oil-producing sector before and after 1984 and perform counterfactual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530189
In this paper, we show that a simple model of smoothly state-dependent pricing generates a distribution of price adjustments similar to that observed in microeconomic data, both for low and high inflation. Our setup is based on one fundamental assumption: price adjustment is more likely when it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530218
This paper analyzes the effects of monetary shocks in a DSGE model that allows for a general form of smoothly state-dependent pricing by firms. As in Dotsey, King, and Wolman (1999) and Caballero and Engel (2007), our setup is based on one fundamental property: firms are more likely to adjust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530226
The paper presents a theory of nominal asset prices for competitively owned oil. Focusing on monetary effects, with flexible oil prices the US dollar oil price should follow the aggregate US price level. But with rigid nominal oil prices, the nominal oil price jumps proportionally to nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530274
Saudi Arabia is the largest player in the world oil market. It maintains ample spare capacity, restricts investment in developing reserves, and its output is negatively correlated with other OPEC producers. While this behavior does not fit into the perfect competition paradigm, we show that it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530301
Este documento presenta un modelo de equilibrio general del mercado global de petróleo, en el que tanto el precio del mismo como su producción y consumo se determinan conjuntamente como resultado de un proceso de decisiones estratégicas de importadores y exportadores de crudo. Por el lado de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530346
Estudiamos la política monetaria óptima desde una perspectiva atemporal en un modelo general de fijación de precios dependiente del estado (state-dependent pricing). Las empresas tienen poder monopolístico y están sujetas a perturbaciones idiosincráticas a sus costes de menú. Encontramos...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530353