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We use data from the London Metal Exchange (LME) to forecast monthly copper returns using the recently proposed dynamic model averaging and selection (DMA/DMS) methodology which incorporates time varying parameters as well as time varying model averaging and selection into a unifying framework....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972876
The main aim of this paper is to forecast both in-sample and out-of-sample lithium prices. Specifically, we explore the empirical implications of the present value model for exchange rates, market indexes, mining company prices and related company prices in hi-tech, automotive, electric vehicle...
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From 1836 to 2011, the average real rate of price change for gold in the United States is 1.1% per year and the … gold's real rate of price change with consumption and GDP growth rates are small and statistically insignificantly … between gold services and ordinary consumption, the model can generate a mean real rate of price change within the (0.1%, 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087443
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From 1836 to 2011, the average real rate of price change for gold in the United States is 1.1% per year and the … gold's real rate of price change with consumption and GDP growth rates are small and statistically insignificantly … between gold services and ordinary consumption, the model can generate a mean real rate of price change within the (0.1%, 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459902
intrinsic risk and the theory of change of measures to derive a probability measure, namely risk-subjective measure, for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057444
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