The theoretical literature on business cycles predicts a positive investment response to productivity improvements, a prediction we question from theoretical and empirical perspectives. We show that a short-term negative response of investment to a positive technology shock is consistent with a...

This paper analyzes the behavior of a central bank under strong (Knightian) uncertainty when the short run trade-off between output and inflation is represented by the Sticky Information Phillips Curve recently proposed by Mankiw and Reis (2002). By solving the robust control problem...

This paper analyzes the behavior of a central bank under strong (quot;Knightianquot;) uncertainty when the short run trade-off between output and inflation is represented by the Sticky Information Phillips Curve proposed by Mankiw and Reis (2002). By solving the robust control problem...