Showing 1 - 10 of 9,646
Natural gas is likely to become increasingly important in the future. Understanding the stochastic underpinnings of natural gas prices will be critical, both to policy analysts and to market participants. To this end, we investigate the potential presence of jumps in natural gas spot prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235818
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696348
a threshold cointegration approach that is in accordance with the law of one price and explicitly accounts for … significant regional price arbitrage. However, high threshold estimates in the latter period indicate impediments to arbitrage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489124
price formation and arbitrage efficiency between spot and futures markets. Econometric approaches are specified that … that price discovery takes place on the futures market, while the spot price subsequently follows the futures market price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010190788
The present paper studies the effect of an upward correction of the natural gas price on the Russian domestic market … liberalize the regulated domestic market price and decrease subsidies for natural gas products. This is claimed to fit in a … policy promoting energy efficiency, increasing investments in natural gas production and bringing the natural gas price on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011522021
, conventional linear models of price dynamics such as the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) can lead to erroneous inferences … about cointegration relationships, price adjustments and relative values. We propose the use of regime-switching models to … address these issues. Our regime switching model uses price data to infer whether pricing is oil-driven (integrated) or gas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486860
In this paper we investigate the time-varying relationship between oil and natural gas in the UK. We develop a model where relative prices can move between pricing-regimes; markets switch between being decoupled and integrated. Our model endogenously accounts for periods where oil and natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212645
2002. The relationship between the international gas marker prices, and their relation to the oil price, are investigated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439628
pairwise, relative and σ–convergence. We show that there is evidence of pairwise price convergence and that some key … of price–growth convergence, while price–level convergence is not supported by the data. Lastly, we assess the short …-run implications of price convergence focusing on the speed of reversion to equilibrium after a system–wide shocks hits the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897020
in the trend (and in the intercept) on the integrated gas price time series, by the time shale gas enters the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019394