This paper argues that political polarization plays a key role in shaping the economic expectations and consumption behavior of households. Using a combination of survey and consumption data of U.S. households, we document five facts. First, household beliefs are well-described by a single...

Can consumption-based mechanisms generate positive and time-varying real term premia as we see in the data? I show that only models with time-varying risk aversion or models with high consumption risk can independently produce these patterns. The latter explanation has not been analysed before...

We propose a regression-based algorithm that allows to construct arbitrarily many comparable, multi-annual, consistent time series on monthly, weekly, daily, hourly and minute-by-minute search volume indices based on the scattered data obtained from Google Trends. The accuracy of the algorithm...

This paper studies the implications of internal consumption habit for new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NKDSGE) models. Bayesian Monte Carlo methods are employed to evaluate NKDSGE model fit. Simulation experiments show that consumption habit often improves the ability of...

This paper studies the implications of internal consumption habit for propagation and monetary transmission in New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NKDSGE) models. We use Bayesian methods to evaluate the role of internal consumption habit in NKDSGE model propagation and monetary...

This paper prices the probable economic risk of coronavirus, where possible outcomes range from partial delay of consumption (blip), to a full scale of recession due to disruption of supply chain and labor productivity shock. We present the lifecycle that the virus goes through (Genesis,...

This paper proposes a model of economy with weakly non-separable preferences for both work effort and consumption. Households who derive utility from consumption of a single commodity and leisure take into account the habitual dependency of their utility on both labour supply and consumption in...

This paper explores the relationship between product innovation and consumption inequality. We employ a modified version of the agent-based macroeconomic model in Georges (2011, 2015). A rise in rents accruing to salaried workers can shift both production and R&D spending toward products...

We study the implications of internal consumption habit for new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NKDSGE) models. Bayesian Monte Carlo methods are employed to evaluate NKDSGE model fit. Simulation experiments show that internal consumption habit often improves the ability of...