The authors provide empirical evidence on the dynamic effects of tax liability changes in the United States. We distinguish between surprise and anticipated tax changes using a timing convention. We document that pre-announced but not yet implemented tax cuts give rise to contractions in output,...

This paper shows that the debt burden of households, as measured by the debt service to income ratio, is helpful in forecasting the future growth of consumption expenditures. Using data for the United States over the period 1960-97, I find a significant negative relationship between the...

This paper provides new empirical insights on the joint distribution of consumption, income, and wealth (CIW) in three of the poorest countries in the world -- Malawi, Tanzania, and Uganda -- all located in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Our first finding is that while income inequality is similar to...

It is shown empirically that, for the US economy, fiscal stimulus has increased total consumption, but has depressed economic growth. Therefore, decades of fiscal stimulus has been a continual depressant on US economic growth and moved the economy closer to the Keynesian singularity defined as...

We evaluate and partially challenge the 'household leverage' view of the Great Recession. In the data, employment and consumption declined more in states where household debt declined more. We study a model where liquidity constraints amplify the response of consumption and employment to changes...

With the rapid development of electronic payment in China, household consumption continues to increase. It is of great significance to study the impact of electronic payment on household consumption. Different from previous studies, this paper takes electronic payment as a new perspective,...

This paper studies the implications of internal consumption habit for new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NKDSGE) models. Bayesian Monte Carlo methods are employed to evaluate NKDSGE model fit. Simulation experiments show that consumption habit often improves the ability of...

The authors provide empirical evidence on the dynamic effects of tax liability changes in the United States. We distinguish between surprise and anticipated tax changes using a timing convention. We document that pre-announced but not yet implemented tax cuts give rise to contractions in output,...

With the development of household budget systems and with regard to the requirements of the European Union with new EU-SILC approaches, the cumulation of cross-section surveys to an integrated information system is recently discussed and required. In particular the reconstruction of household...