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Tsetlin, Ilia; Winkler, Robert L.; Huang, Rachel J.; … - In: Operations research 63 (2015) 2, pp. 363-377

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010526703

Tailored scoring rules for probabilities

Johnstone, David J.; Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Winkler, … - In: Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for … 8 (2011) 4, pp. 256-268

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009410605

Is it better to average probabilities or quantiles?

Lichtendahl, Kenneth C.; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 59 (2013) 7, pp. 1594-1611

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784145

Generalized almost stochastic dominance

Huang, Rachel J.; Tsetlin, Ilia; Tzeng, Larry Y.; … - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009793444

Evaluating probabilities: asymmetric scoring rules

Winkler, Robert L. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 40 (1994) 11, pp. 1395-1405

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001176015

Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts

Murphy, Allan H. - In: International journal of forecasting 7 (1992) 4, pp. 435-455

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001124454

Evaluating quantile forecasts in the M5 uncertainty competition

Chen, Zhi; Gaba, Anil; Tsetlin, Ilia; Winkler, Robert L. - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191522

Ranking distributions when only means and variances are known

Müller, Alfred; Scarsini, Marco; Tsetlin, Ilia; … - 2020 - Revised version of 2019/37/DSC

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299679

Quantile evaluation, sensitivity to bracketing, and sharing business payoffs

Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; Lichtendahl, Kenneth C.; Jose, … - In: Operations research 65 (2017) 3, pp. 712-728

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691439

Averaging probability forecasts : back to the future

Winkler, Robert L.; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael; … - 2018

We explore some recent, and not so recent, developments concerning the use of probability forecasts and their combination in decision making. Despite these advances, challenges still exist. We expand on some important challenges influencing the “goodness” of combined probability forecasts...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012013714