The state of the art in the analyst forecasting literature is that analyst earnings forecast ability is only firm … absence of a “spillover” effect, i.e., investors do not consider an analyst's earnings forecast ability regarding firm k when … reacting to his earnings forecast revision for firm j. We re-examine the issue of whether or not earnings forecast ability is …

the stock return volatility, first, at the release of a management earnings forecast, and second, at the eventual … surrounding a management earnings forecast for those firms who release them compared to a matched-firm sample of firms without a … management earnings forecast at that date, and then further examines that result based on different forecast antecedents and …

forecast disclosure only accrue to bidders with a strong forecasting reputation prior to the acquisition. Explaining why not … all bidders forecast, we document a higher likelihood of post-merger litigation and CEO turnover for bidders with a weak …

' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …

forecast when actual earnings exceed the consensus and the most pessimistic forecast when the consensus exceeds actual earnings …

forecasts. We find evidence consistent with our expectation that egregious forecast errors motivate analysts to work harder to … information. This increased reliance on private information reduces the mean forecast error for upcoming earnings (even after … individual forecast error is idiosyncratic, and thus averaged out in the computation of the mean forecast …