Behavioral changes due to digitalization, such as telework, shifted energy demand, especially during COVID-19. Behavioral changes are often overlooked in macro-demand forecasts. This study forecasts macro-energy use to 2030 using American Time Use Survey and national energy data from 2003-2019....

Failures are not rare in economic forecasting, probably due to the high incidence of shocks and regime shifts in the economy. Thus, there is a premium on adaptation in the forecast process, in order to avoid sequences of forecast failure. This paper evaluates a sequence of inflation forecasts in...