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"This paper uses the factor augmented regression framework to analyze the relation between bond excess returns and the macro economy. Using a panel of 131 monthly macroeconomic time series for the sample 1964:1-2007:12, we estimate 8 static factors by the method of asymptotic principal...
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status quo bias. We evaluated interest rate forecast series from twelve industrial nations. This revealed that, on average …, forecasts were much too close to the status quo - the current interest rate at the time when the forecast was made. With the aid …
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