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An integrated approach to forecasting intermittent demand for electric power materials
Jiang, Aiping; Chi, Qiuguo; Gao, Junjun; Wu, Maoguo - In: Computational economics 53 (2019) 4, pp. 1309-1335
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135133
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What can be learned from the historical trend of crude oil prices? : an ensemble approach for crude oil price forecasting
Li, Mingchen; Cheng, Zishu; Lin, Wencan; Wei, Yunjie; … - In: Energy economics 123 (2023), pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476450
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Zur Prognose der Lebenserwartung in Deutschland: Ein Vergleich verschiedener Verfahren
Hansen, Hendrik; Pflaumer, Peter - In: AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv 5 (2011) 3, pp. 203-219
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009396983
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Oil and Product Price Dynamics in International Petroleum Markets
Lanza, Alessandro; Manera, Matteo; Giovannini, Massimo - 2003
In this paper we investigate crude oil and products price dynamics. We present a comparison among ten price series of crude oils and fourteen price series of petroleum products, considering four distinct market areas (Mediterranean, North Western Europe, Latin America and North America) over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011325123
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Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance
Del Negro, Marco; Hasegawa, Raiden B.; Schorfheide, Frank - 2014
pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340986
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Long-run forecasting in multicointegrated systems
Engsted, Tom; Siliverstovs, Boriss; Haldrup, Niels - 2003
We extend the analysis of Christoffersen and Diebold (1998) on long-run forecasting in cointegrated systems to …, this new loss function entails high and increasing forecasting gains compared to both the standard MSFE criterion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260703
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Financial professionals' overconfidence: Is it experience, job, or attitude?
Gloede, Oliver; Menkhoff, Lukas - 2009
This paper examines financial professionals' overconfidence in their forecasting performance. We are the first to … compare individual financial professionals' self-ratings with their true forecasting performance. Data spans several years at … attitude to herd, whereas recent forecasting success comes along with more overconfidence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270051
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A First Look on the New Halle Economic Projection Model
Giesen, Sebastian; Holtemöller, Oliver; Scharff, Juliane; … - 2010
In this paper we develop a small open economy model explaining the joint determination of output, inflation, interest rates, unemployment and the exchange rate in a multi-country framework. Our model - the Halle Economic Projection Model (HEPM) - is closely related to studies recently published...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271586
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An examination of the IFS corporation tax forecasting record
Basu, Suman; Emmerson, Carl; Frayne, Christine - 2003
This paper examines the corporation tax forecasting techniques used by the Institute for Fiscal Studies. For current … forecasts. In the short term inaccuracies in the modelling process are found to be more important than errors in forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293091
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Crude oil prices and the euro-dollar exchange rate: A forecasting exercise
Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus; Breitenfellner, Andreas - 2008
If oil exporters stabilize the purchasing power of their export revenues in terms of imports, exchange rate developments (and particularly, developments in the US dollar/euro exchange rate) may contain information about oil price changes. This hypothesis depends on three conditions: (a) OPEC has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293389