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Projecting the medium-term : outcomes and errors for GDP growth
Kappler, Marcus (contributor) - 2007
The focus of this paper is the evaluation of a very popular method for potential output estimation and medium …-term forecasting the production function approachin terms of predictive performance. For this purpose, a forecast evaluation for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003582516
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Essays on central bank forecasting
Schultefrankenfeld, Guido - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010406987
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German forecasters' narratives : how informative are German business cycle forecast reports?
Müller, Karsten - 2020
Based on German business cycle forecast reports covering 10 German institutions for the period 1993-2017, the paper analyses the information content of German forecasters' narratives for German business cycle forecasts. The paper applies textual analysis to convert qualitative text data into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293448
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Bottom-up or direct? : forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment
Heinisch, Katja; Scheufele, Rolf - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 54 (2018) 2, pp. 705-745
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011949298
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Interest rate forecasts in times of financial crisis : what might be interesting to know?
Kunze, Frederik; Kramer, Jens; Rudschuck, Norman - In: European journal of political economy 34 (2014), pp. 45-52
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283954
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Interest rate forecasting and the financial crisis : a turning point in more than just one way
Kunze, Frederik; Gruppe, Maria; Wendler, Tilo - In: International journal of financial engineering and risk … 2 (2015) 1, pp. 1-16
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344392
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Do interest-rate forecasters herd? : international evidence
Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph - In: Applied economics letters 21 (2014) 1/3, pp. 93-98
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238225
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The empirical (ir)relevance of the interest rate assumption for central bank forecasts : conference paper
Knüppel, Malte; Schultefrankenfeld, Guido - 2013
The interest rate assumptions for macroeconomic forecasts differ considerably among central banks. Common approaches are given by the assumption of constant interest rates, interest rates expected by market participants, or the central bank's own interest rate expectations. From a theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337208
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Do GDP forecasts respond efficiently to changes in interest rates?
Croushore, Dean Darrell; Marsten, Katherine - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541067
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A note on the (continued) ability of the Yield Curve to forecast economic downturns in South Africa
Botha, Ferdi; Keeton, Gavin - In: The South African journal of economics 82 (2014) 3, pp. 468-473
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010502155