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We evaluate inflation forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) of the Central Bank of Chile … accurate inflation forecasts. We evaluate these new forecasts in an out-of sample exercise. The new forecasts display important …
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This paper reinvestigates the performance of trimmed-mean inflation measures some 20 years since their inception … measures in forecasting headline inflation. …
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Survey-based expectations are mostly used by monetary authorities for inflation forecasts and evaluation of the … credibility of their inflation fighting policies. It is also an important link in the monetary policy transmission mechanism. This … study examined the predictive ability of business expectations survey (BES) inflation index on movements of inflation as …
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projections for inflation, unemployment, and the Fed's policy rate-are themselves predictable by information publicly available at …
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