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Inferring fundamental value and crash nonlinearity from bubble calibration
Yan, Wanfeng; Woodard, Ryan; Sornette, Didier - 2010
of new models based on the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) model, which is a flexible tool to detect bubbles and predict … dynamics of a crash after a bubble. We test the models using data from three historical bubbles ending in crashes from … Shanghai Composite index 2009 crash. All results suggest that the new models perform very well in describing bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797688
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A creepy world
Sornette, Didier; Cauwels, Peter - 2013
history where a small event had a cataclysmic consequence, we propose a novel view of the current state of the world via the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257508
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Expectations : the Twenty-second Henry Thornton Lecture, Department of Banking and Finance, City University Business School, London, England, November 28, 2000
Poole, William - In: Review / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 83 (2001) 2, pp. 1-10
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001585406
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The long-term international economic position of the United States
Bergsten, Carl Fred (contributor) - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003829282
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The crash of the millennium : surviving the coming inflationary depression
Batra, Raveendra N. - 1999 - 1. ed
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001373973
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Avoiding the Apocalypse : the future of the two Koreas
Noland, Marcus - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001465272
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Which way for the stock market?
Shiller, Robert J.; Siegel, Jeremy J. - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002244456
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The new finance : overreaction, complexity, and uniqueness
Haugen, Robert A. - 2004 - 3. ed.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001786555
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Predicting fiscal crises : a machine learning approach
Hellwig, Klaus-Peter - 2021
In this paper I assess the ability of econometric and machine learning techniques to predict fiscal crises out of sample. I show that the econometric approaches used in many policy applications cannot outperform a simple heuristic rule of thumb. Machine learning techniques (elastic net, random...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612343
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The Great Depression ahead : how to prosper in the crash that follows the greatest boom in history
Dent, Harry S. - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003769761