reflected in the forecasting capabilities of professional analysts: all in all, analysts are not in a position to beat naïve … environment, we analyse the forecasting behaviour of students experimentally, using a simulated currency series. Our results … indicate that a topically oriented trend adjustment behaviour (TOTA) is a general characteristic of human forecasting behaviour …

reflected in the forecasting capabilities of professional analysts: all in all, analysts are not in a position to beat native … environment, we analyse the forecasting behaviour of students experimentally, using a simulated currency series. Our results … indicate that a topically oriented trend adjustment behaviour (TOTA) is a general characteristic of human forecasting behaviour …

This paper examines the corporation tax forecasting techniques used by the Institute for Fiscal Studies. For current … forecasts. In the short term inaccuracies in the modelling process are found to be more important than errors in forecasting …

markets. We analyze the respective forecasting accuracy and our results indicate that there exist substantial differences …

pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE …