Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - 2016 - First version: January 21, 2015. This version: September 13, 2015
Some observers have conjectured that the steep decline in the price of oil between June and December 2014 resulted from positive oil supply shocks in the second half of 2014. Others have suggested that a major shock to oil price expectations occurred when in late November 2014 OPEC announced...