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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001900802
The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the € /US-$ rate. The results indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by professional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational expectations hypothesis. This dismal result is according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498977
function of a sample of exchange rate forecasters is asymmetric in the forecast error. Using forecasts of the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425217
The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the E/US-$ rate. The results indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by professional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational expectations hypothesis. This dismal result is according to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074962
developments (and particularly, developments in the US dollar/euro exchange rate) may contain information about oil price changes … from the euro area and (c) alternatives to oil invoicing in US dollar are costly. We give evidence that using information … on the US dollar/euro exchange rate (and its determinants) improves oil price forecasts significantly. We discuss …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009731788
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001956531
The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the €/US-$ rate. The results indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by profes-sional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational expectations hy-pothesis. This dismal result is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305755