Behavioral biases in forecasting, particularly the lack of adjustment from current values and the overall clustering of forecasts, are increasingly explained as resulting from the anchoring heuristic. Nonetheless, the classical anchoring experiments presented in support of this interpretation...

Reputational herding has been considered as a driving force behind economic and financial forecasts clustered around consensus values. Strategic coordination can consequently explain poor performances of prediction markets as resulting from the distinct incentives that forecasters face. While...

Biased forecasts, particularly the inadequate adjustment from current values and excessive clustering, are increasingly explained as resulting from anchoring. However, experiments presented in support of this interpretation lack economic conditions, particularly monetary incentives, feedback for...

Für Investitionen am Kapitalmarkt spielt die Portfoliotheorie (Markowitz, 1952) eine bedeutende Rolle und bildet nach wie vor eine wichtige Entscheidungsgrundlage für die Strukturierung von Anlageportfolios. Für risikoaverse Anleger ist die Diversifikation der Portfoliobestandteile eine...