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The COVID-19 crisis has revealed the economic vulnerability of various countries and, thus, has instigated the systematic exploration and forecasting of sovereign default risks. Multivariate statistical and stochastic process-based sovereign default risk forecasting has a 50-year developmental...
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We compare the performance of financial professionals (CFAs) with university students in four financial forecasting … tasks ranging from simple lab prediction tasks to longitudinal field tasks. Although students and professionals performed … 'representativeness of the situation' in the lab tasks did not systematically benefit financial professionals as students outperformed …
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