This paper studies the pathways for the propagation of shocks across G7 and major Asia-Pacific countries using multi-horizon forecasts of real GDP growth from 1995 to 2017. We show that if the forecasts are efficient in the long run, results obtained using the forecasts are comparable to those...

We have assessed the effect of data releases when constructing short-term point and density forecasts of the Spanish gross domestic product growth. For this purpose, we considered a real-forecasting exercise in which we defined several pseudo-data vintages that had a mixture of monthly and...

Alle Kapitel dieser Doktorarbeit beleuchten das Thema Aktienfaktoren, allerdings aus unterschiedlichen Perspektiven. Das zentrale Ziel ist es, zum Verständnis von einigen der ältesten und anerkanntesten Aktienfaktoren beizutragen. Das erste Kapitel geht über die Vorhersagbarkeit von...