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This paper finds evidence that stock returns vary with the physical climate change exposure of firms in a predictable manner. We construct measures of exposures to physical climate changes at the firm level, and find that firms with high climate change exposures experience lower future...
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earnings forecasters, we see that small adjustments to the model forecasts lead to more forecast accuracy. Based on past track …
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available forecast for each forecaster and the difference between the average and the forecast that this forecaster previously … made. We extended the knowledge base by analyzing the unpredictable component of the earnings forecast. We found that for … some forecasters the unpredictable component can be used to improve upon the predictable forecast, but we also found that …
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in the next quarter. Our oil-response forecast strategy earns especially high returns in periods that follow large …
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