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The purpose of this research is to determine the main forecasting factors of stock analysts, to analyze whether stock analysts have a rational base for their advice to the individual investors. According to the Modigliani-Miller theorem, the factors which affected to dividend and capital gain...
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This paper examines the evidence regarding predictability in the market risk premium using artificial neural networks (ANNs), namely the Elman Network (EN) and the Higher Order Neural network (HONN), univariate ARMA and exponential smoothing techniques, such as Single Exponential Smoothing (SES)...
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A substantial amount is incurred in ETF transaction costs each year. This paper examines the performance of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and other naïve models to time trades in 1,350 ETFs over the 2011 to 2017 period. We find varied spread savings for large and retail ETF traders by...
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