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In a sample of 110 countries over the period 1960-2009, we document a positive relation between the volatility and … volatility and skewness in panel data with country fixed effects in the top quartile of countries in terms of beginning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014032598
volatility and growth. We first develop a simple growth model where firms engage in two types of investment: a short-term one and …, thus mitigating volatility. But when firms face tight credit constraints, long-term investment turns procyclical, thus … amplifying volatility. Tighter credit therefore leads to both higher aggregate volatility and lower mean growth for a given total …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014028049
This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility. Economic theory does … not provide a clear guide to the effects of financial integration on volatility, implying that this is essentially an … empirical question. We provide a comprehensive examination of changes in macroeconomic volatility in a large group of industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014084811
creation, as well as in explaining fluctuations in stock-market and Treasury bond market volatility. In general, we find that …'s stock market volatility performing the best on several (but not all) dimensions. Their learning-based model's volatility … volatile than the David and Veronesi (2013) stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294567
I estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for the United States that incorporates oil market shocks and risk shocks working through credit market frictions. The findings of this analysis indicate that risk shocks play a crucial role during the Great Recession and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474905
Empirical studies showed that firm-level volatility has been increasing but the aggregate volatility has been … financial development leads to a larger firm-level volatility but a lower aggregate volatility. In addition, our model is also … consistent with the observed decline in volatility of private held firms which do not have (or have only limited) access to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014208300
This paper studies the effects of discretionary fiscal policy on output volatility and economic growth. Using data for … significant macroeconomic instability; (2) The volatility of output caused by discretionary fiscal policy lowers economic growth … by more than 0.8 percentage points for every percentage point increase in volatility; (3) Prudent use of fiscal policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014085564
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