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with measured values in terms of percentage root mean square error (RMSE) and percentage mean bias error (MBE). It is …
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This paper puts forward a Bayesian version of the global vector autoregressive model (B-GVAR) that accommodates international linkages across countries in a system of vec-tor autoregressions. We compare the predictive performance of B-GVAR models for the one- and four-quarter ahead forecast...
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