In this paper, we examine the forecasting ability of an affine term structure framework that jointly models the markets for Treasuries, inflation-protected securities, inflation derivatives, and oil future prices based on no-arbitrage restrictions across these markets. On the methodological...

In this paper we introduce a new way to estimate the spot volatility of high frequency foreign exchange data using the Hilbert-Huang Transform. We also propose and test a consistent spot volatility estimate in the presence of microstructure noise. The problem of assessing the validity of latent...