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The Taylor rule has become the dominant model for academic evaluation of out-of-sample exchange rate predictability. Two versions of the Taylor rule model are the Taylor rule fundamentals model, where the variables that enter the Taylor rule are used to forecast exchange rate changes, and the...
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This document proposes a general macroeconomic framework to analyze the behavior of inflation. This approach has two characteristics. The first is the distinction of monetary regimes based on the number of shocks that have a permanent effect on the price level. When all shocks have a permanent...
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target rates from the OIS prices to predict the outcome of monetary policy meetings around the world. In the US, a randomly …-Prämie-Anomalie, der Geldpolitik und Wechselkursdynamik, sowie der Messung der geldpolitischen Erwartungen aus den Vermögenspreisen. Im … Pozdeev) dokumentieren wir einen Trend in den Wechselkurse vor Anpassungen der Geldpolitik in den Industrieländern. Die …
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