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managers alike. Both professions have found it increasingly difficult to forecast savings deposit flows. This article explores … models of the savings deposit market. To achieve this aim, I use the so-called FMP (MPS) macro model used by the Federal … savings bank in the US. I find that economists failed to find timeless determinants for the market for savings deposits …
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Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
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