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Researchers who study crime and justice have been forecasting a variety of outcomes for nearly a century. Perhaps the … and time trends in crime. However, it is very difficult to determine how accurate such forecasts have been because few … forecasts have been properly evaluated. In the hope of improving crime and justice forecasts in the future, this article reviews …
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analyze monthly severe crimes at the census tract level in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Our data set combines Uniform Crime … matrices. Our estimation results confirm socio-economic explanations for crime and, foremost, the broken-windows hypothesis …
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We evaluate the impacts of adopting algorithmic predictions of future offending (risk assessments) as an aid to judicial discretion in felony sentencing. We find that judges' decisions are influenced by the risk score, leading to longer sentences for defendants with higher scores and shorter...
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