We analyze the predictability of the bitcoin market across prediction horizons ranging from 1 to 60 min. In doing so, we test various machine learning models and find that, while all models outperform a random classifier, recurrent neural networks and gradient boosting classifiers are especially...

We employ and analyze various machine learning models for daily cryptocurrency market prediction and trading. We train the models to predict binary relative daily market movements of the 100 largest cryptocurrencies. Our results show that all employed models make statistically viable...

Accurate predictions are essential in many areas such as corporate decision making, weather forecasting and technology forecasting. Prediction markets help to aggregate information and gain a better understanding of the future by leveraging the wisdom of the crowds. Trading prices in prediction...