Using a controlled laboratory experiment, we test the effect of individual versus group when making judgmental forecasting adjustments. When individuals make decisions, especially that are exacting task like forecasting, they often feel anxious. Yet, when groups make decisions, they feel less...

In this paper, we are trying first to exhibit why – paradoxically – the local economic performance is not able to explain the regional vote in France. In a second time, we build a Political Economy model (pooled time series), testing voting for regional incumbents and Front National as well....