Showing 1 - 10 of 13,818
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011611967
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255192
forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and in uence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984037
forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and influence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990008
This paper explores whether professional macroeconomic forecasters manipulate their forecasts to influence voting outcomes. We model a referendum in which a voter chooses between two policies. The voter relies on a forecaster to learn about the macroeconomic consequences of the policies. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014583811
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300720
1. Introduction / Patrick van der Duin -- 2. Developing scenarios / Jan Nekkers -- 3. Trend analysis / Tessa Cramer, Patrick van der Duin and Christianne Heselmans -- 4. The Delphi method / Vincent Marchau and Erik van de Linde -- 5. Technological forecasting / Scott W. Cunningham and Jan H....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013181937
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011421919
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000013660
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010376575