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theory, but only when the cointegrating relations are specified a priori based on economic theory. When estimated … are also reported on. The first shows that cointegration vector parameter estimation error is crucial when using VEC … alternative models, due to parameter estimation error, indicating that caution needs to be exercised when interpreting the results …
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The quantity equation is a well-established, theoretic, long-run concept that has been criticized for a variety of reasons, i.e., that no precise statements about causality or dynamics between money growth and inflation can be inferred from its components. These shortcomings can be tackled by...
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Using a random sample of 60% of our cross-sectional data on U.S. stocks from 1964 to 2012, we trained four machine learning algorithms to forecast debt paydown over a one-year horizon. An evaluation of these candidate models on half of the hold-out sample (20% of the original dataset) showed...
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