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Political forecast cycles
Bohn, Frank; Veiga, Francisco José - In: European journal of political economy 66 (2021), pp. 1-27
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012534787
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Electoral incentives and information content in macroeconomic forecasts
Reslow, André - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483212
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Manipulating fiscal forecasts : evidence from the German States
Kauder, Björn; Potrafke, Niklas; Schinke, Christoph - 2017
We examine whether German state governments manipulated fiscal forecasts before elections. Our data set includes three fiscal measures over the period 1980-2014. The results do not show that electoral motives influenced fiscal forecasts in West German states. By contrast, East German state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597259
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Manipulating fiscal forecasts : evidence from the German states
Kauder, Björn; Potrafke, Niklas; Schinke, Christoph - In: FinanzArchiv : European journal of public finance 73 (2017) 2, pp. 213-236
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011908039
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Political business cycle and macro-fiscal forecast errors in sub-Saharan Africa
Alade, A. S.; Kilishi, A․ A. - In: Journal of government and economics : JGE 14 (2024), pp. 1-5
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052032
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Electoral cycles in macroeconomic forecasts
Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2021
Sweden, we document that governments overestimate short-term GDP growth by 10 to 13 percent during campaign periods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514965
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Electoral cycles in macroeconomic forecasts
Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2022
the United States, the United Kingdom, and Sweden, we document that governments overestimate short-term real GDP growth by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336207
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Electoral cycles in macroeconomic forecasts
Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 202 (2022), pp. 307-340
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013552439
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Appropriate macroeconomic model support for the Ministry of Finance and the National Institute of Economic Research : a pilot study
Hjelm, Göran (contributor) - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515359
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Fiscal policy in the semi-structural model ECB-BASE
Bańkowski, Krzysztof - 2023
Fiscal policy constitutes a key tool for business cycle stabilisation next to monetary policy. In this context, having a well-suited macroeconomic model for analysing fiscal policy at a central bank is of primary importance. This paper documents the fiscal block of the ECB-BASE, which is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278636