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index. I extend the model which was previously suggested as a model for inflation forecasting in the USA to take into …
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, Russia. Numerous useful indicators are identified and forecast pooling of three model classes (bridge models, MIDAS models …
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Russian banks have been strongly influenced by the worldwide financial crisis which started in the second half of 2008. This was caused by a combination of domestic, regional and international factors. We estimate an early warning model for the Russian crisis. We identified 47 Russian banks...
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growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the … recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time data vintages of the index of industrial production in Russia we …
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