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We develop a new dynamic multivariate model for the analysis and the forecasting of football match results in national … six large European football competitions and we validate the precision of the forecasts for a period of seven years for …
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For the Euro 2000 Soccer Championships an experimental asset market was condueted, with traders buying and selling contracts on the winners of individual matches. Market-generated probabilities are compared to professional bet quotas, and factors that are responsible for the quality of the...
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In dieser Arbeit werden parametrische Modelle zur Prognose von Spielen der Fußball-Bundesliga geschätzt. Dabei werden in einem ersten Schritt die Spielstärken der beteiligten Mannschaften geschätzt, aus denen zu erwartende Tordifferenzen abgeleitet werden. Hierbei werden verschiedenen...
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