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A multi-factor carbon price prediction method MEEMD-LSTM is proposed based on traditional Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) neural network. Multi-factor used in carbon price prediction method included the historical carbon price and other factors which affect carbon price fluctuation. The change...
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This note shows that combining external forecasts such as the Survey of Professional Fore casters can significantly increase DSGE forecast accuracy while preserving the interpretability in terms of structural shocks. Applied to pseudo real-time from 1997q2 onward, the canonical Smets and Wouters...
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populations, provided recipients use forecast information to update climate expectations. We test whether pastoralists in southern … Ethiopia and northern Kenya update their expectations in response to forecast information and find that they indeed do, albeit … of their livelihood rather than an inability to process forecast information …
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