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We analyze real-time forecasts of US inflation over 1999Q3-2019Q4 and subsamples, investigating whether and how … and robustifies against bad forecasts; aggregating forecasts of inflation's components can improve performance compared to …
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In the present paper we analyse whether fundamental macroeconomic factors, temporary influences or more structural factors have contributed to the recent decline in bond yields in the US. For that purpose, we start with a very general model of interest rate determination in which risk premia are...
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