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Macroeconomic news and market reaction : surprise indexes meet nowcasting
Caruso, Alberto - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012098059
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Forecasting aggregate period birth rates : the time series properties of a microdynamic neoclassical model of fertility
Heckman, James J.; Walker, James R. - 1989
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000774916
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Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration
Hyndman, Rob J.; Booth, Heather - In: International journal of forecasting 24 (2008) 3, pp. 323-342
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764036
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Probabilistic Forecasting using Stochastic Diffusion Models, with Applications to Cohort Processes of Marriage and Fertility
Myrskylä, Mikko; Goldstein, Joshua R. - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936965
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State space models for estimating and forecasting fertility
Rueda, Cristina; Rodríguez, Pilar - In: International journal of forecasting 26 (2010) 4, pp. 712-724
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008807741
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Altersspezifische, markovkettenbasierte Fertilitätsprognose und ihre Bedeutung für die Bevölkerungs- und Wirtschaftspolitik : erweiterte und korrigierte Ausgabe
Strohner, Benjamin - 2016 - erweiterte und korrigierte Ausgabe
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420228
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Stochastic population analysis : a functional data approach
Fang, Lei; Härdle, Wolfgang - 2015
Based on the Lee-Carter (LC) model, the benchmark in population forecasting, a variety of extensions and modifications are proposed in this paper. We investigate one of the extensions, the Hyndman-Ullah (HU) method and apply it to Asian demographic data sets: China, Japan and Taiwan. It combines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477583
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The sensitivity of the Scaled Model of Error with respect to the choice of the correlation parameters : a simulation study
Graziani, Rebecca; Keilman, Nico - 2010 - Publisert 23. des. 2010 12:08 - Sist endret 29. des. 2010 15:48
consider changes in the correlation of the age-specific fertility forecast error increments across time and age, and changes in … impact of such changes on the forecasts of the Total Fertility Rate and of the Male and Female Life Expectancies respectively …. For age specific fertility we find that the correlation across ages has only limited impact on the uncertainty in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008772871
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Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration
Hyndman, Rob J.; Booth, Heather - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003361002
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Projection des familles, une vérification
Rallu, Jean-Louis - In: Le défi de l'incertitude nouvelles approches en …, (pp. 237-247). 1999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001517791