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In this paper, the interaction between inflation and monetary policy rules is analysed within the framework of a … illustrated that the control of monetary policy over the inflation process is strongly dependent on the role of forward looking …
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Data on monetary aggregates are subject to periodic redefinitions, presumably in part to improve their link to measures of output. Money data are also revised on a regular basis. Taking these data imperfections into account, we reassess the evidence on the marginal predictive content of M1 and...
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data revision errors in GDP on the ex ante or conditional inflation-output-growth volatility trade-off and applies it to … volatility of inflation and output growth is explored by a simulation exercise. In general, the results obtained suggest that … focusing monetary policy on GDP growth instead on inflation may lead to an inefficient policy with both increased medium term …
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-Wouters model and its forecasts of real GDP growth and inflation are compared with those from two extensions. The first adds … extensions improve the density forecasts of real GDP and inflation and their joint forecasts up to an eight-quarter horizon. We … find that adding financial frictions leads to a deterioration in the forecasts, with the exception of longer-term inflation …
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