New products are highly valued by manufacturers and retailers due to their vital role in revenue generation. Product life cycle curves often vary by their shapes and are complicated by promotional activities that induce spiky and irregular behaviors. We collaborate with JD.com to develop a...

We study the problem of forecasting a time series that evolves according to a dynamically changing, skewed life cycle. For instance, firms often need accurate distributional forecasts of product life cycles to make operational decisions about capacity and inventory management. These forecasts...