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In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and...
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The Taylor rule has become the dominant model for academic evaluation of out-of-sample exchange rate predictability. Two versions of the Taylor rule model are the Taylor rule fundamentals model, where the variables that enter the Taylor rule are used to forecast exchange rate changes, and the...
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target rates from the OIS prices to predict the outcome of monetary policy meetings around the world. In the US, a randomly …-Prämie-Anomalie, der Geldpolitik und Wechselkursdynamik, sowie der Messung der geldpolitischen Erwartungen aus den Vermögenspreisen. Im … Pozdeev) dokumentieren wir einen Trend in den Wechselkurse vor Anpassungen der Geldpolitik in den Industrieländern. Die …
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