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Forecasts of global economic activity and inflation are important inputs when conducting monetary policy in small open economies such as Canada. As part of the Bank of Canada's broad agenda to augment its short-term forecasting tools, the author constructs simple mixed-frequency forecasting...
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Global activity is a key driver of UK economic growth. Official estimates of world GDP and trade are only available … predicting large swings in world activity and have been particularly helpful since the onset of the financial crisis. A … combination of these indicators has performed much better at tracking world GDP and trade growth since 2008 than a simple …
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The term globalisation has gained widespread popularity; yet most treatments are either descriptive and/or focused on changes in economic interconnectivity. This book brings together leading international experts from a range of disciplines to develop a long-term analysis to address the problems...
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challenge for economists. The International Monetary Fund proposes within its periodic World Economic Outlook report a measure …-frequency information. Pseudo real-time results show that this approach provides reliable and timely nowcasts of the world GDP annual growth …
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