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A Robust Prediction Error Criterion for Pareto Modeling of Upper Tails

Dupuis, Debbie - 2011

Estimation of the Pareto tail index from extreme order statistics is an important problem in many settings. The upper tail of the distribution, where data are sparse, is typically fitted with a model, such as the Pareto model, from which quantities such as probabilities associated with extreme...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130229

Psychology, preferences, and markets

Benjamin, Daniel J. - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965084

Can Justices Predict Case Outcomes at Oral Arguments?

Johnson, Timothy R. - 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013140278

Forecasting Methods in Crime and Justice

Berk, Richard - 2008

Researchers who study crime and justice have been forecasting a variety of outcomes for nearly a century. Perhaps the … forecasts have been properly evaluated. In the hope of improving crime and justice forecasts in the future, this article reviews … modern forecasting methods and their applications to crime and justice questions. Among the key challenges for researchers …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012768142

Fairness in machine learning and econometrics

Centorrino, Samuele; Florens, Jean-Pierre; Loubes, … - In: Econometrics with Machine Learning, (pp. 217-250). 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013447857

What Predicts a Successful Life? A Life-Course Model of Well-Being

Layard, Richard - 2013

If policy-makers care about well-being, they need a recursive model of how adult life-satisfaction is predicted by childhood influences, acting both directly and (indirectly) through adult circumstances. We estimate such a model using the British Cohort Study (1970). The most powerful childhood...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073851

Performance of a reciprocity model in predicting a positive reciprocity decision

Bhirombhakdi, Kornpob; Potipiti, Tanapong - In: Chulalongkorn journal of economics 23 (2011), pp. 77-93

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010254922

Actuarial fairness when longevity increases : an evaluation of the Italian pension system

Belloni, Michele; Maccheroni, Carlo - In: The Geneva papers on risk and insurance - issues and … 38 (2013) 4, pp. 638-674

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206710

Predicting Fair Use

Sag, Matthew - 2012

Fair use is often criticized as unpredictable and doctrinally incoherent - a conclusion which necessarily implies that the copyright system is fundamentally broken. This article confronts that critique by systematically assessing the predictability of fair use outcomes in litigation....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014185587

Regulatory Arbitrage or Random Errors? Implications of Race Prediction Algorithms in Fair Lending Analysis

Greenwald, Daniel; Howell, Sabrina T.; Li, Cangyuan; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

When race is not directly observed, regulators and analysts commonly predict it using algorithms based on last name and address. In small business lending--where regulators assess fair lending law compliance using the Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG) algorithm--we document large...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337878

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