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This paper proposes two new weighting schemes that average forecasts using different estimation windows to account for …, Choice of Estimation Sample, Forecast Combinations, NAIRU Phillips Curve. …
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We examine whether German state governments manipulated fiscal forecasts before elections. Our data set includes three fiscal measures over the period 1980-2014. The results do not show that electoral motives influenced fiscal forecasts in West German states. By contrast, East German state...
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