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Wanna bet there will be war? : a time-series analysis of prediction markets during the Libya conflict 2011

Wörle, Sebastian Matthias - In: The journal of prediction markets 7 (2013) 3, pp. 1-28

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342035

Getting to War : Predicting International Conflict with Mass Media Indicators

Hunt, W - 2010

Intro -- Contents -- Preface -- 1. The Dilemma of Getting to War -- 2. Predicting War in Theory -- 3. Testing the … Theory -- 4. Predicting War in Practice: Crisis and War -- 5. Getting to War in U.S. Diplomatic History -- 6. Conclusion and … Implications for Theory -- Appendixes -- Appendix 1: Data Sets -- Appendix 2: Coding Instructions, Nations and Newspapers …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012687082

Essays on international macroeconomics and conflict analysis

Bhattacharya, Prasad S. - 2005

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003553273

Evaluating forecasts of political conflict dynamics

Brandt, Patrick T.; Freeman, John R.; Schrodt, Philip A. - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 944-962

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517775

Predicting Conflict

Celiku, Bledi - 2017

This paper studies the performance of alternative prediction models for conflict. The analysis contrasts the performance of conventional approaches based on predicted probabilities generated by binary response regressions and random forests with two unconventional classification algorithms. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954325