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In 2008, the S&P500 aggregated a loss of 30.16% during three selected days. Unfortunately, benchmark risk measures didn't forecast these hazards. Consequently, we witness a growing interest in coherent risk measures, sensitive to high moments and heavy tail risk. Such measures were proposed by...
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Compared to the past literature on prediction markets that uses small-scale observational field data or experiments, this present research examines the efficiency of such markets by studying catastrophe (CAT) bonds. We collect actual catastrophe loss data, match them with the defined trigger...
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influenced greatly by Probability theory due to Pascal and Fermat (1654). Economists, but maritime ones, have understood, however …
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