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The irrational economist : making decisions in a dangerous world
Michel-Kerjan, Erwann (ed.); Slovic, Paul (contributor) - 2010 - 1. ed.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003890001
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Forecasters and rationality : a comment on Fritsche et al., Forecasting the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso ; asymmetric loss, forecast rationality and forecaster herding
Fildes, Robert - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 140-143
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327376
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Rational inattentiveness in a forecasting experiment
Goecke, Henry; Luhan, Wolfgang J.; Roos, Michael W. M. - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 94 (2013), pp. 80-89
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249045
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The rationality and efficiency of individuals' forecasts
Stekler, Herman O. - In: A companion to economic forecasting, (pp. 222-240). 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001893097
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Are Market Forecasts Rational?
Mishkin, Frederic S. - 2002
This paper conducts tests of the rationality of both inflation and short-term interest rate forecasts in the bond … market. These tests are developed with the theory of efficient markets and make use of security price data to infer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787455
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Are Market Forecasts Rational?
Mishkin, Frederic S. - 1980
This paper conducts tests of the rationality of both inflation and short-term interest rate forecasts in the bond … market. These tests are developed with the theory of efficient markets and make use of security price data to infer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478629
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Quantifying qualitative survey data : new insights on the (ir)rationality of firms' forecasts
Botsis, Alexandros; Görtz, Christoph; Sakellarēs, … - 2020
Using a novel dataset that contains qualitative firm survey data on sales forecasts as well as balance-sheet data on realized sales, we document that only major forecast errors are predictable and display autocorrelation. This result is a particular violation of the Full Information Rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174792
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A Machine-Learning Analysis of the Rationality of Aggregate Stock-Market Forecasts
Pierdzioch, Christian - 2016
rationality of aggregate stock-market forecasts. The BRT algorithm endogenously selects the predictor variables used to proxy the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995768
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Adaptive rational equilibrium with forward looking agents
Brock, William A. (contributor); Dindo, Pietro (contributor) - 2006 - Rev.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003748093
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Adaptive rational equiolibrium with forward looking agents
Brock, William A.; Dindo, Pietro; Hommes, Cars H. - In: International journal of economic theory 2 (2006) 3/4, pp. 241-278
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003398959